Identifying and addressing risks that affect the schedule.
This topic discusses risk management techniques specific to scheduling, including risk identification, qualitative and quantitative risk analysis, and developing risk response plans to mitigate schedule risks.
5 minutes
5 Questions
Schedule Risk Analysis (SRA) is a quantitative approach to evaluate potential impacts of uncertainties on project schedules. It helps project managers understand the probability of completing a project by a specific date and identify activities that could significantly affect the project timeline.
SRA typically involves these steps:
1. Create a deterministic schedule with dependencies and critical path identified
2. Identify key schedule risks and uncertainties
3. Assign probability distributions to activity durations
4. Run Monte Carlo simulations
5. Analyze results to determine confidence levels for completion dates
The output of SRA includes:
- Probability distribution of project completion dates
- Confidence levels for meeting schedule milestones
- Tornado diagrams showing activities with highest schedule impact
- Sensitivity analysis identifying which activities most affect the overall schedule
Based on SRA results, schedule risk mitigation strategies can be developed:
1. Schedule reserves/buffers: Adding time contingencies to high-risk activities or key milestones
2. Alternative sequencing: Changing the order of activities to reduce critical path risks
3. Fast-tracking: Overlapping activities that would normally be done in sequence
4. Crashing: Adding resources to shorten high-risk activities
5. Risk transfer: Shifting schedule risk to third parties through contracts
6. Proactive risk response planning: Developing specific actions for identified schedule risks
7. Critical chain scheduling: Focusing on resource constraints and using buffers strategically
Regular schedule risk monitoring throughout the project helps identify emerging risks and evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. SRA should be repeated periodically as the project progresses to reflect current information and changing conditions.
Effective schedule risk management balances the need for realistic timeframes with the business need for predictable delivery dates.Schedule Risk Analysis (SRA) is a quantitative approach to evaluate potential impacts of uncertainties on project schedules. It helps project managers understand the probability of completing a project by a specific date and identify activities that could significantly affect the project timeline.
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PMI-SP - Schedule Risk Analysis and Mitigation Example Questions
Test your knowledge of Schedule Risk Analysis and Mitigation
Question 1
In a PMI-SP context, which schedule risk identification approach involves documenting observed triggers and early warning signs during project execution?
Question 2
In schedule risk management, what technique involves stakeholders privately ranking project schedule risks before reaching group consensus?
Question 3
Which schedule risk identification technique focuses on analyzing root causes through iterative questioning about potential schedule delays?
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