Risk Probability and Impact Assessment
Risk probability and impact assessment involves evaluating each risk in terms of its likelihood of occurrence and the potential effect it could have on the project. This can involve quantitative or qualitative techniques. This is essential to determine how the risks can affect the potential for success. The risks with the highest likelihood and impact are known as the priority risks, these should be managed first.
Guide to Risk Probability and Impact Assessment
What it is: Risk Probability refers to the likelihood of a risk occurring, usually expressed as a percentage. Impact Assessment, on the other hand, gauges the potential effect of a risk if it does occur. It includes evaluating the potential consequences and damages to the project's objectives.
How it works: Risk Probability is determined through analysis of previous data, expert judgement, or statistical methods. Impact Assessment involves studying the potential effects on cost, time, quality, or objectives of the project.
Answering Exam Questions: When answering exam questions on this topic, express your understanding of risk probability & its determination methods, and the effect of an event on the project’s objectives when discussing impact assessment. Always base your argument on a logical assessment of the situation.
Exam Tips: Study previous exam papers to understand the kind of questions asked. Use the terminology correctly and ensure your answers are concise and logically structured. Remember to integrate both the aspects - probability and impact while answering.
In numerical questions, pay attention to the units of measurement and calculation methods.
Your rationale should align with best practices in risk management.
CAPM - Risk Probability and Impact Assessment Example Questions
Test your knowledge of Risk Probability and Impact Assessment
Question 1
You've discovered a risk that could cause a minor setback in an ongoing satellite deployment project's schedule. The likelihood is 50% and the setback would last two days. What's your course of action?
Question 2
During a website redesign project, you have identified a risk of server failure with a predicted occurrence of 25% and an estimated delay of a week. What is the best course of action?
Question 3
You're in charge of a software development project. During risk assessment, you predict the system might crash tumbling efficiency. The probability is estimated to be 20% and impact would be a week delay. What would you likely do?